RXRX AI stock prediction, Monte Carlo, and QML research
Recursion Pharmaceuticals is often grouped with AI-enabled biotech and computational biology themes. The stock can respond to both biotech catalysts and AI infrastructure sentiment.
Ticker
RXRX
Market
NASDAQ
Theme
AI-driven drug discovery and computational biology
Today's Public Snapshot
RXRX AI signal and IV regime
Latest backend snapshot: 2026-06-16. Data is rendered only when a public backend snapshot exists.
AI signal
Pending
Next-session model label
Up probability
-
55%+ Bullish, 45% or lower Bearish
IV regime
Pending
Options volatility context
IV view
Pending
Opportunity score -
How to read the RXRX AI percentage
The percentage is the estimated probability that RXRX closes higher in the next trading session. It is not a long-term price target and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Why IV regime appears before prediction
Options volatility helps separate directional momentum from market-implied risk. Reading IV first makes the AI signal easier to interpret in context.
Historical Accuracy
RXRX historical prediction win rate
Win rate is calculated only from records where the next trading-day close has been verified.
Win rate
27.3%
insufficient_data
Monthly
27.3%
2026-06 3/11
Verified
11
Minimum 10
Correct
3
Next-session direction
High conf.
27.3%
11 verified records
Updated
2026-06-16
candidate model
RXRX historical prediction records
| Date | Signal | Probability | Bucket | Last close | Actual next close | Change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Bearish | 32% | high confidence | $3.25 | - | - | Pending |
| 2026-06-15 | Bullish | 58% | high confidence | $3.31 | $3.18 | -4.07% | Miss |
| 2026-06-12 | Bullish | 61% | high confidence | $3.27 | $3.29 | 0.77% | Correct |
| 2026-06-11 | Bearish | 37% | high confidence | $3.02 | $3.15 | 4.48% | Miss |
| 2026-06-10 | Bearish | 35% | high confidence | $3.13 | $3.15 | 0.54% | Miss |
| 2026-06-09 | Bearish | 33% | high confidence | $3.30 | $3.04 | -7.88% | Correct |
| 2026-06-08 | Bullish | 67% | high confidence | $3.32 | $3.22 | -3.01% | Miss |
| 2026-06-05 | Bearish | 32% | high confidence | $3.31 | $3.32 | 0.15% | Miss |
| 2026-06-04 | Bullish | 64% | high confidence | $3.80 | $3.31 | -12.76% | Miss |
| 2026-06-03 | Bearish | 43% | high confidence | $3.47 | $3.80 | 9.51% | Miss |
| 2026-06-02 | Bearish | 36% | high confidence | $3.61 | $3.47 | -3.88% | Correct |
| 2026-06-01 | Bullish | 73% | high confidence | $3.79 | $3.61 | -4.75% | Miss |
Why Track It
Recursion Pharmaceuticals research context
Track RXRX when you want a biotech-style risk profile with an AI narrative overlay.
Research Angles
- Biotech news can create discontinuous price moves that require scenario analysis.
- Monte Carlo ranges help translate volatility into practical risk bands.
- Batch Prediction is useful for comparing RXRX with other AI and innovation names.
Workflow
How to research RXRX
Start with the module that matches the question, then compare the signal against risk and benchmark context.
Step 1
Run AI Prediction for short-term directional probability.
Step 2
Use Monte Carlo to inspect downside and upside distribution.
Step 3
Compare against SOUN, NVDA, and QQQ for AI-theme confirmation.
FAQ
RXRX stock prediction FAQ
What does the RXRX AI percentage mean?
It is the model's estimated next-session up probability. A 60% reading means the model currently estimates a 60% chance of an up close for the next session, not a 60% expected return.
How is RXRX historical win rate calculated?
Win rate only counts verified prediction rows where the next trading-day close is available. Pending rows are excluded until they can be scored.
Why does IV regime matter for RXRX?
IV regime shows options-market pressure, skew, and volatility context. It helps explain whether the market is pricing unusual risk around the ticker.
Is this RXRX page investment advice?
No. This page is research and education only. It should be used with your own risk controls and independent analysis.
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