SOUN AI stock prediction, Monte Carlo, and QML research
SoundHound AI is a high-attention AI application stock. It can attract momentum traders when AI software narratives regain strength.
Ticker
SOUN
Market
NASDAQ
Theme
conversational AI, voice interfaces, and enterprise automation
Today's Public Snapshot
SOUN AI signal and IV regime
Latest backend snapshot: 2026-06-16. Data is rendered only when a public backend snapshot exists.
AI signal
Pending
Next-session model label
Up probability
-
55%+ Bullish, 45% or lower Bearish
IV regime
BULLISH_SKEW
Options volatility context
IV view
Call demand elevated
Opportunity score 66.6
How to read the SOUN AI percentage
The percentage is the estimated probability that SOUN closes higher in the next trading session. It is not a long-term price target and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Why IV regime appears before prediction
Options volatility helps separate directional momentum from market-implied risk. Reading IV first makes the AI signal easier to interpret in context.
AI Prediction Snapshot
SOUN stock prediction result
SOUN prediction research should focus on whether AI application momentum is broadening or fading. The public snapshot keeps the page indexable, while live users can run the current ensemble up-probability.
Public result
Speculative voice AI momentum watch
Next trading session · 2026-06-12
Ensemble up probability
Live model
Run live AI Prediction
RF up probability
Live model
Shown after live run
LR up probability
Live model
Shown after live run
Daily volatility
Live model
Shown after live run
Sentiment score
Live model
Shown after live run
How to read this signal
- Compare SOUN with BBAI, PLTR, NVDA, and smaller AI application names.
- Check daily volatility before treating an up-probability reading as a clean long signal.
- Use QML drawdown and Monte Carlo range to avoid chasing post-news spikes.
Historical Accuracy
SOUN historical prediction win rate
Win rate is calculated only from records where the next trading-day close has been verified.
Win rate
40.0%
insufficient_data
Monthly
40.0%
2026-06 4/10
Verified
10
Minimum 10
Correct
4
Next-session direction
High conf.
33.3%
9 verified records
Updated
2026-06-16
candidate model
SOUN historical prediction records
| Date | Signal | Probability | Bucket | Last close | Actual next close | Change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Bearish | 29% | high confidence | $6.96 | - | - | Pending |
| 2026-06-15 | Bullish | 60% | high confidence | $7.54 | $7.03 | -6.83% | Miss |
| 2026-06-12 | Bullish | 65% | high confidence | $7.08 | $7.33 | 3.53% | Correct |
| 2026-06-11 | Bearish | 32% | high confidence | $6.67 | $6.90 | 3.37% | Miss |
| 2026-06-10 | Bearish | 39% | high confidence | $7.00 | $7.00 | 0.07% | Miss |
| 2026-06-09 | Bearish | 44% | medium confidence | $7.25 | $6.75 | -6.96% | Correct |
| 2026-06-08 | Bullish | 65% | high confidence | $7.49 | $7.02 | -6.28% | Miss |
| 2026-06-05 | Bearish | 33% | high confidence | $7.39 | $7.49 | 1.35% | Miss |
| 2026-06-03 | Bearish | 37% | high confidence | $8.08 | $8.01 | -0.87% | Correct |
| 2026-06-02 | Bearish | 37% | high confidence | $8.82 | $8.08 | -8.39% | Correct |
| 2026-06-01 | Bullish | 60% | high confidence | $9.25 | $8.82 | -4.65% | Miss |
Why Track It
SoundHound AI research context
Track SOUN when you want to monitor speculative AI application exposure beyond the mega-cap semiconductor trade.
Research Angles
- Crowded AI momentum can reverse quickly after large percentage gains.
- Model probability should be checked against volatility and drawdown risk.
- QML equity curves can show whether SOUN has durable trend leadership.
Workflow
How to research SOUN
Start with the module that matches the question, then compare the signal against risk and benchmark context.
Step 1
Use Batch Prediction to rank SOUN against NVDA, AMD, and RXRX.
Step 2
Open Monte Carlo before chasing post-news gaps.
Step 3
Check QML strategy return and max drawdown for trend quality.
FAQ
SOUN stock prediction FAQ
What does the SOUN AI percentage mean?
It is the model's estimated next-session up probability. A 60% reading means the model currently estimates a 60% chance of an up close for the next session, not a 60% expected return.
How is SOUN historical win rate calculated?
Win rate only counts verified prediction rows where the next trading-day close is available. Pending rows are excluded until they can be scored.
Why does IV regime matter for SOUN?
IV regime shows options-market pressure, skew, and volatility context. It helps explain whether the market is pricing unusual risk around the ticker.
Is this SOUN page investment advice?
No. This page is research and education only. It should be used with your own risk controls and independent analysis.
Related Research
Compare SOUN with nearby tickers
NVDA
NVIDIA
Track NVDA when you need a market-leading AI infrastructure signal and a reference point for semiconductor momentum.
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Track AMD when you want a liquid AI semiconductor signal with both growth and cyclical components.
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
Track RXRX when you want a biotech-style risk profile with an AI narrative overlay.